The 2012 presidential election

It is early, but I will make a prediction as to what I believe will happen in the 2012 presidential election.

Obama will win.

Does he deserve to win based on his accomplishments up to now? I am not sure. Do I approve of what he has done? I give him a a 6.5 out of 10.

He was given a chance to fulfill his promises of change. but what has he changed? Very little. He had a chance to be a statesman and settled for politician.

He has allowed the Republicans to dictate the agenda, by not going to the public with candor as to why he has not achieved the changes he said he would fight for.

He did not fight for single payer health reform, although all the polls showed the public favored it. He was lukewarm on the health care issue all along. The openness of the government has not come to be. He has not brought to the table the gun and ammunition issue and the NRA is still dictating gun policies. He promised to get us out of Iraq and Afghanistan, and has not really explained why he cannot achieve this goal. It is possible he may have a valid reason, then have a fireside chat and explain the reason.


He has decided he has the progressives in his pocket, so he has to go to the middle of the road.

So why does he win if he has not done the great job everyone expected?

He wins because when the voter realizes what the opposition has offered and done, enough of them will come to their senses.

He wins because I do not believe the Tea Party has gotten the attention of disaffected Democrats or Independents. What the Tea Party has done is taken disaffected Republicans into their corner. These are votes they had in the last election.
They did not win then.

The disaffected Democrats have no choice but to vote for what might have been and may still be.The Independents also are too smart to go along with the Republicans who were more interested in defeating President Obama than making some of the things they disagreed on more palatable.

And one other reason Obama will win: After 2012 he can't run again, which will free him up to do more of what he believes in without having to deal with political fallout.

The most powerful politician is the one with nothing to lose.